The Meteorological Centre Srinagar has issued the latest weather forecast for Jammu and Kashmir, predicting rain, thunderstorms, and isolated heavy showers over the coming days. While widespread heavy rainfall is not expected throughout the period, certain vulnerable areas may witness brief intense downpours that could trigger flash floods, landslides, and mudslides.
Residents, tourists, and travelers are advised to remain cautious, especially in the Chenab Valley and Pir Panjal Range, where heavy rainfall is likely on July 12.
J&K Weather Forecast
July 12, 2026
Many parts of Jammu and Kashmir are expected to receive one or two spells of rain and thundershowers.
- Rain and thundershowers at many places.
- Heavy rain or brief intense showers at isolated locations of the Chenab Valley and Pir Panjal Range of Jammu Division.
- Weather activity is expected to be more significant during the afternoon, evening, and early morning hours.
Weather Outlook (July 13–18)
The weather is expected to remain generally hot and humid across most areas.
During this period:
- Brief spells of rain and thundershowers are likely at scattered places.
- Isolated areas of Jammu Division may receive brief intense showers.
- Most regions will continue to experience warm and humid conditions between rainfall events.
Weather Forecast (July 19–21)
A fresh western weather system is likely to influence Jammu and Kashmir.
Expected conditions include:
- Light to moderate rain and thundershowers at many places.
- Brief intense heavy showers at isolated locations.
- Pleasant temperatures following rainfall in several districts.
Advisory Issued by MET Centre Srinagar
The Meteorological Centre Srinagar has advised residents to remain alert due to the possibility of localized heavy rainfall.
Key Warnings
- Heavy rainfall or brief intense showers may occur at a few places on 12 July.
- Flash floods are possible in vulnerable locations.
- Landslides and mudslides may occur in the Chenab Valley and Pir Panjal Range.
- Water levels in local streams and nallas may rise suddenly.
Safety Guidelines
Residents and visitors should take the following precautions:
- Avoid unnecessary travel during heavy rainfall.
- Stay away from rivers, streams, and overflowing nallas.
- Do not cross flooded roads or bridges.
- Avoid landslide-prone areas, especially in hilly regions.
- Follow official weather updates and local administration advisories.
- Tourists should check road conditions before planning travel.
Impact on Daily Life
Rainfall may temporarily affect:
- Road connectivity in hilly areas.
- Traffic movement due to waterlogging.
- Agricultural activities.
- Outdoor events and tourism.
- Local transportation services.
However, the rainfall is also expected to provide relief from the prevailing hot and humid weather conditions in many parts of Jammu and Kashmir.
Districts That Should Remain Alert
People living in or traveling through the following regions should remain particularly cautious:
- Chenab Valley
- Pir Panjal Range
- Doda
- Kishtwar
- Ramban
- Rajouri
- Poonch
- Nearby hilly areas of Jammu Division
The latest weather forecast indicates a mix of rain, thunderstorms, and humid weather across Jammu and Kashmir over the next several days. While widespread severe weather is not expected every day, localized heavy showers on July 12 and another spell of rainfall between July 19 and 21 could create hazardous conditions in vulnerable areas.
Residents are advised to stay updated with official weather bulletins and avoid unnecessary travel during periods of heavy rainfall.
Source
Meteorological Centre Srinagar (MET Centre Srinagar