The Meteorological Centre Srinagar has issued a fresh weather forecast for Jammu and Kashmir, indicating generally dry conditions during the first two days of June, followed by a significant change in weather from June 3 onwards. Several areas across the Union Territory are likely to witness rain, thunderstorms, hailstorms, lightning, and gusty winds during the coming days.
Residents, tourists, farmers, transporters, and people involved in outdoor activities have been advised to stay alert, especially between June 3 and June 6 when weather activity is expected to intensify across many districts.
Dry Weather to Continue Till June 2
According to the latest forecast, Jammu and Kashmir will mostly remain dry on June 1 and June 2. However, isolated places may experience brief spells of rain or thundershowers during the late afternoon hours.
The weather during these two days is expected to remain largely stable across the Kashmir Valley, Jammu division, and higher reaches. Day temperatures are likely to stay above normal in many places due to clear skies and hot conditions.
Despite the overall dry weather, localised cloud development in the afternoon may trigger isolated showers in some areas, particularly over hilly regions.
Major Weather Change Expected From June 3
The weather pattern is expected to change significantly from June 3 as moisture incursion and western disturbance activity may influence Jammu and Kashmir.
The MET Centre has predicted generally cloudy weather with spells of rain, thunderstorms, and gusty winds at many places on June 3. Wind speeds may reach 40–50 kmph, while gusts could touch up to 60 kmph at isolated locations.
The weather activity is expected to continue during June 4 and June 5 as several districts may witness repeated spells of rain and thunderstorms. Hailstorms are also possible in some areas during this period.
The changing weather conditions may bring temporary relief from the ongoing heat in parts of Jammu division and plains of Kashmir. However, strong winds and lightning activity may also pose risks to outdoor movement and vulnerable infrastructure.
Rain and Thunderstorm Activity During June 4–5
The forecast suggests that most places in Jammu and Kashmir could receive one or two spells of rain or thundershowers between June 4 and June 5.
During this period, weather conditions may include:
- Moderate rainfall in several areas
- Thunder and lightning activity
- Hailstorm at isolated locations
- Strong gusty winds
- Temporary disruption in transport movement
Higher reaches may also witness intense thunder activity during evening hours. Farmers have been advised to remain cautious as hailstorms and gusty winds may damage crops, orchards, and vegetables.
Fruit growers in the Kashmir Valley are particularly advised to monitor local advisories as strong winds and hail can impact apple orchards and other horticulture produce.
Weather Likely To Improve From June 7
After the active weather phase, conditions are expected to improve gradually.
The forecast for June 6 indicates generally cloudy weather with brief showers at a few places. From June 7 to June 9, weather across Jammu and Kashmir is likely to remain mostly hot and dry again.
Day temperatures may rise once again after the wet spell ends, especially in Jammu division and lower plains.
Advisory Issued By MET Centre Srinagar
The Meteorological Department has issued an important advisory for the public in view of the expected thunderstorm activity between June 3 and June 6.
Key Advisory Points
- Thunderstorms, lightning, hailstorms, and gusty winds are possible at scattered places.
- Wind speeds may reach 40–50 kmph and gust up to 60 kmph.
- People are advised to stay indoors during thunderstorms and lightning activity.
- Boating and shikara riding should be suspended during periods of strong winds and storms.
- Tourists visiting Kashmir should remain updated with local weather advisories.
- Farmers and orchard owners should take precautions to protect crops and fruit plants.
Authorities may also monitor vulnerable areas for possible disruptions caused by strong winds and heavy showers.
Impact on Tourism and Daily Life
The weather forecast is important for the tourism sector as thousands of tourists are currently visiting Kashmir Valley during the peak summer season.
Popular tourist destinations including Gulmarg, Pahalgam, Sonamarg, Dal Lake, and other hill resorts may witness rain and thunderstorms during the forecast period.
Shikara services on Dal Lake and other water bodies may temporarily remain suspended during periods of gusty winds and thunderstorms for safety reasons.
Travelers planning road journeys on hilly routes are advised to remain cautious as slippery roads, low visibility, and sudden weather changes may affect movement.
Farmers and Orchard Growers Advised Caution
The expected hailstorm and gusty winds could affect orchards and standing crops in several districts.
Agricultural experts often advise farmers to:
- Avoid spraying pesticides during stormy weather
- Secure loose farm equipment
- Protect vegetable crops where possible
- Monitor orchard conditions during hail activity
The Kashmir Valley is currently in an important horticulture phase, making weather conditions crucial for fruit development.
Temperature Trends Across J&K
Before the arrival of rain activity, many areas across Jammu and Kashmir have been witnessing above-normal temperatures.
Jammu division has experienced hot weather conditions during recent days, while Kashmir Valley also recorded relatively warm afternoons.
The expected rain and cloud cover from June 3 onwards may temporarily reduce daytime temperatures across many areas.
Humidity levels, however, may increase during thunderstorm periods.
Importance of Following Official Updates
Residents are advised not to rely on rumours or unverified social media claims regarding extreme weather. Official forecasts and advisories issued by the MET Centre Srinagar should be followed for accurate and timely updates.
People living in vulnerable areas should stay alert, especially during evening hours when thunderstorm activity tends to intensify.
Emergency response agencies and district administrations may also issue local advisories depending on weather developments.
Weather Forecast Summary
June 1–2
- Mostly dry weather
- Isolated late afternoon showers possible
June 3
- Cloudy weather
- Rain, thunderstorms, and gusty winds at many places
June 4–5
- Rain/thundershower activity at most places
- Possibility of hailstorm and lightning
June 6
- Generally cloudy with brief showers
June 7–9
- Hot and dry weather likely to return
The coming week is expected to bring a mix of summer heat and active weather conditions across Jammu and Kashmir. Residents and visitors are advised to stay cautious during thunderstorm periods and follow official safety guidelines.
Source: MET Centre Srinagar